Tag: threaten

  • Sudan street battles threaten fragile ceasefire as Turkish plane shot

    Sudan street battles threaten fragile ceasefire as Turkish plane shot

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    Street battles and gunfire threaten what remains of a fragile ceasefire in Sudan, now hanging by a thread despite a three-day extension of the truce agreement as a Turkish evacuation plane was shot at as it attempted to land.

    The Sudanese Armed Forces (SAF), loyal to Gen Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, claimed the paramilitary group the Rapid Support Forces had shot at the plane as it landed at the Wadi Seidna airbase, 12.5 miles (20km) north of Khartoum on the western bank of the Nile. The SAF said the attack had wounded a crew member and damaged the plane’s fuel supply.

    The RSF denied its forces had attacked the Turkish military plane and instead blamed the SAF, claiming it wanted to “sabotage our relations” with allies. “It is not true that we targeted any aircraft in the sky of Wadi Seidna in Omdurman, which is an area not under the control of our forces, and we do not have any forces in its proximity,” it said.

    Why violence has broken out in Sudan – video explainer

    Amid questions about whether three more Turkish flights scheduled to evacuate citizens from Sudan would be able to land, or whether the fourth plane would leave the airfield, Turkey’s defence ministry confirmed the incident without attributing blame.

    “Light weapons fired on our C-130 evacuation plane,” it said, adding that the plane had landed safely. “Although there are no injuries to our personnel, necessary checks will be carried out on the aircraft.”

    The British ambassador to Sudan and the Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office (FCDO) had instructed British nationals wishing to leave the country to travel to the evacuation centre at Wadi Seidna airbase as soon as possible, amid growing criticism that the FCDO was doing little to help doctors and others with British residency stranded in Sudan or neighbouring countries with their families.

    Plumes of smoke rise in Bahri during clashes.
    Plumes of smoke rise in Bahri during clashes. Photograph: Video obtained by Reuters

    Fighting between the two warring generals who head the SAF and RSF has overtaken the capital, Khartoum, and much of its sister city, Omdurman, amid increasing reports of violence in West Darfur province next to the border with Chad and fears that the street battles and looting that have plagued Khartoum could take hold across Sudan.

    Clouds of thick smoke rose above two areas of Bahri, northern Khartoum, on Friday as locals reported hearing sounds of gunfire. The Sudanese army, the SAF, has used airstrikes with jets or drones to strike RSF forces that have fanned out through residential neighbourhoods in Sudan’s sprawling capital. Civilians have been left to shelter in their homes, often without easy access to food, water, fuel or electricity.

    “The situation this morning is very scary. We hear the sounds of planes and explosions. We don’t know when this hell will end,” Mahasin al-Awad, a Bahri resident, told Reuters. “We’re in a constant state of fear for ourselves and our children.”

    Fierce battles and airstrikes have caused mass displacement, with thousands of Sudanese and foreign nationals fleeing the capital for Port Sudan on the Red Sea coast or to the borders with neighbouring countries.

    The International Organisation for Migration (IOM) said an estimated 20,000 people, primarily Chadian and Sudanese nationals, had crossed Sudan’s border into Chad since fighting began almost two weeks ago. The UN refugee agency estimated that up to 100,000 people may seek refuge in Chad in the coming weeks from Sudan, as well as a further 170,000 people fleeing to South Sudan.

    The non-governmental organisation Care says most of those arriving in the Sudan-Chad border region are women and children. More than 42,000 people are sheltering in the open or in huts carrying just a few essential belongings or in some cases nothing at all due to the stress of their flight from their homes.

    ‘We’re just lucky’: Sudan evacuees reach safety – video

    Aid groups in Chad also highlighted concerns that the influx of refugees had come as they were trying to prepare for the lean season between harvests, increasing food insecurity for millions, as well as heavy rains that could block vital food aid to thousands of stranded refugees.

    “It’s a perfect storm,” said Pierre Honnorat, who leads the World Food Programme in Chad. “The lean season coming in June. And the rainy season that will cut off all those regions.”

    Sudan was already hosting an estimated 1.3 million migrants, including some who had fled violence in surrounding regions, particularly Ethiopia’s northern state of Tigray. Many now risk further displacement or being unable to escape violence owing to fears of political persecution in other surrounding countries.

    According to the IOM, at least 1,000 people have crossed into Ethiopia each day this week, and more are expected to arrive. Most are Turkish and Ethiopian nationals, as well as groups of Sudanese and Somali citizens. Almost 15% of arrivals in Ethiopia are minors, it says.

    Sudanese refugees queue to receive supplements from the World Food Programme in the border town of Adre, Chad.
    Sudanese refugees queue to receive supplements from the World Food Programme in the border town of Adre, Chad. Photograph: Mahamat Ramadane/Reuters

    This increased pressure on surrounding countries has prompted regional leaders to bolster efforts to press on the warring generals to restore what remains of the fraying ceasefire.

    The Ethiopian prime minister, Abiy Ahmed, said he had held phone discussions with Burhan of the SAF and Gen Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, known as Hemedti, of the RSF, to discuss “the need to settle differences amicably and bring stability to Sudan”, adding: “The great people of Sudan deserve peace.”

    Countries from the African Union and the UN, as well as Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, the UK and the US, welcomed the ceasefire extension and called for “its full implementation”. The groups hailed both parties’ readiness “to engage in dialogue towards establishing a more durable cessation of hostilities and ensuring unimpeded humanitarian access”.

    The generals’ willingness to cease fighting and prepare for dialogue did not appear evident on the ground, where battles have left at least 460 people dead. Shortly before the ceasefire renewal, the World Health Organization condemned what it said were increasing attacks on healthcare personnel, hospitals and ambulances across Sudan. The attacks had left at least three dead and two injured, it added.

    The WHO said 16 hospitals, including nine in Khartoum, were “reportedly non-functional due to attacks”. A further 16 hospitals in Khartoum and Darfur states were close to being non-functional due to staff fatigue and lack of supplies, it added.



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    ( With inputs from : www.theguardian.com )

  • Airstrikes threaten three-day truce in Sudan

    Airstrikes threaten three-day truce in Sudan

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    Airstrikes and reports of renewed fighting have threatened a delicate three-day truce in Sudan, while a senior aid worker warned of a potential “huge biological hazard” resulting from the armed seizure of a Khartoum laboratory containing deadly diseases.

    A 72-hour ceasefire came into effect across the country at midnight on Monday night and was largely holding. It is intended to give Sudanese people respite from days of bloodshed and allow the wounded to reach already limited medical care. World powers hope it will also provide time for a massive international rescue mission to fly out evacuees.

    Three previously attempted ceasefires have failed over 11 days of fighting. So far, at least 459 people have been killed and more than 4,000 wounded, according to UN agencies.

    On Tuesday morning, airstrikes struck the city of Omdurman, a city across the Nile from Khartoum, with a least one bomb hitting a civilian home. Later in the day, a private clinic in the city was hit by an anti-aircraft rocket, injuring 10 people, and clashes were heard spreading to parts of north Khartoum.

    Somaia Hassan, a mother of three, said she was hiding under a bed and citing verses from the Qur’an as gunfire trapped her in her home.

    The violence has pitted army units loyal to its military ruler, Gen Abdel Fattah al-Burhan, against the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) led by Mohamed Hamdan Dagalo, known as Hemedti.

    Why violence has broken out in Sudan – video explainer

    The UN secretary general, António Guterres, has said the fighting could “engulf the whole region and beyond”. “We must all do everything within our power to pull Sudan back from the edge of the abyss,” Guterres said on Monday.

    There have been reports of militias from neighbouring Chad joining the conflict on the side of the RSF, with gunmen arriving on motorbikes.

    An accountant living in El Geteina, on the border with Chad, said hospitals were closed due to a lack of medicine. “Now the number of the killed and injured people is unknown,” said Issmat Brahim. “I believe they are dozens if not hundreds, and the death toll will increase.”

    The World Health Organization’s representative to Sudan, Nima Saeed Abid, said local technicians could not access the national public health laboratory. The centre held samples of measles, cholera and polio pathogens and other hazardous materials, he said.

    Fighters “kicked out all the technicians from the lab … which is completely under the control of one of the fighting parties as a military base,” Abid said, declining to specify which warring side had seized the facility. “There is a huge biological risk associated with the occupation of the central public health lab. This is the main concern: no accessibility to the lab technicians to go to the lab and safely contain the biological material and substances available.”

    Clashes have paralysed hospitals and other essential services and left many residents stranded in their homes with dwindling food and water supplies.

    The UN humanitarian office (OCHA), which coordinates relief efforts, has been forced to cut back on some of its activities due to the violence. At least five aid workers have been killed since fighting broke out, and the International Organization for Migration and the World Food Programme have suspended some activities after losing staff.

    “In areas where intense fighting has hampered our humanitarian operations, we have been forced to reduce our footprint,” said Jens Laerke, a spokesperson for the OCHA. “But we are committed to continue to deliver for the people of Sudan.”

    The sudden departure of foreigners and closure of embassies has prompted fears in Sudan that international powers expect a worsening fight and are prioritising their diplomats and citizens. Western officials say they are trying to end the hostilities through diplomacy.

    Patrick Youssef, the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC) regional director for Africa, has urged other countries to continue to put pressure on Sudan to find a “long-lasting solution”.

    Agence France-Presse, the Associated Press and Reuters contributed to this report

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    ( With inputs from : www.theguardian.com )

  • AI-driven Microsoft Bing, You.com threaten Google’s Search dominance

    AI-driven Microsoft Bing, You.com threaten Google’s Search dominance

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    New Delhi: New AI features in Microsoft Bing search engine and startup You.com have started to threaten Google’s Search dominance, as users seek more efficient search options.

    According to AI ethicist and You.com CEO Richard Socher, Google Search alternatives now offer users a more personalised search experience, reports ZDNet.

    “SEO-driven low-quality content has diluted the value of search results. This has fed consumer demand for better search experiences,” Socher was quoted as saying.

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    Generative AI like OpenAI’s ChatGPT and large language models are now challenging Google’s Search like never before.

    According to Socher, the key lies in innovation, user control, and strategic partnerships.

    “Google needs help to adapt to new paradigms, such as generative AI, due to its existing business model and entrenched market dominance,” he added.

    As Microsoft takes the lead with AI-powered Bing Search and ChatGPT, Google is set to release a new AI-powered Search engine next month, with more features coming this fall.

    The new features will be available exclusively in the US, and will be released initially to a maximum of one million users, according to reports.

    The company plans are part of efforts to meet the threat posed by Microsoft’s Bing chatbot and OpenAI’s ChatGPT.

    “AI competitors like the new Bing are quickly becoming the most serious threat to Google’s search business in 25 years, and in response, Google is racing to build an all-new search engine powered by the technology,” says a report in The New York Times.

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    ( With inputs from www.siasat.com )

  • Muslim man poisons children, kills self after UP officials threaten to demolish home

    Muslim man poisons children, kills self after UP officials threaten to demolish home

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     A 50-year-old man named Mohammed Saleem, a resident of Shadi ki Madaiyan, Rampur district of Uttar Pradesh consumed poison along with his two children aged eight and six on Friday after administration sleuths arbitrarily informed him his house would be demolished.

    The man and his daughter died on Saturday morning however, his son survived and is admitted to a local hospital.

    The tragic incident took place after revenue officials allegedly visited Saleem’s house and told him that his house would be bulldozed as it was allegedly built on government land.

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    The deceased was working at a tyre repair shop in his locality.

    According to the locals, in 2016, Saleem purchased land for Rs 1,90,00 and built a house on it.

    According to a report published in The Times of India, the land he purchased, used to be part of a dried-up pond.

    Notably, 20 other people had purchased land next to Saleem which is part of the dried-up pond. They were unaware that the land was given on lease to the seller by the revenue department.

    “In 2021, Saleem along with 20 people were served legal notices by the court of tehsildar in which they were asked that their houses have encroached on Garam Samaj land, however, the case related it is still pending in court and no further order was delivered as yet,” Sub-divisional Magistrate Nirankar Singh was quoted by TOI.

    As per a TOI report, Mehtab Jahan, wife of Saleem, claimed that several officials visited their house and told her husband that their house would be demolished soon as per court order.

    She further alleged that previously they had received a notice from the tehsildar court demanding them a ransom of Rs 64 lakh.

    “I have lost my daughter and husband. I want justice from the government,” she said.

    Relative of Saleem alleged that, on Thursday, the revenue officials took Saleem’s thumbprint on some documents however, the officials are denying it now.

     “As Saleem is not a reader, they took his thumbprint on some documents, nothing of which he understood,” said a relative.



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    ( With inputs from www.siasat.com )

  • Rajouri Attack: Victim Families Threaten To Return Government Aid, Jobs

    Rajouri Attack: Victim Families Threaten To Return Government Aid, Jobs

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    SRINAGAR: The residents of Dhangir village of Rajouri on Monday said they will return all government aid including ex-gratia relief and jobs as security forces have failed to track down attackers of January 01 militant attack.

    Addressing a press conference, the victim families said that around 3 months have passed since the gruesome attack but there is no clue of attackers and security forces and government are only giving assurances.

    “We want justice not financial aid or jobs. We just don’t need assurances but justice. We are ready for a long agitation and will return all the aid and jobs in protest,” said Saroj Bala, who is now alone in her family as she lost her both sons in the attack that day.

    7 people lost their lives and 13 others were injured after militants resorted to indiscriminate firing in Dhangri village on January, while one more person died after an IED explosion took place in the area next day. (KNO)

    Previous articleMinor Girl Drowns To Death
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    ( With inputs from : kashmirlife.net )

  • Why an indictment may help Trump — and threaten the GOP

    Why an indictment may help Trump — and threaten the GOP

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    Sensing an opening, Trump’s campaign began to turn the impending indictment into a litmus test for the rest of the field: either defend the ex-president, they warned, or be labeled a leftist sympathizer.

    Even Trump’s GOP detractors began to see the writing on the wall.

    “He’s become the new Teflon president,” said Michael Brodkorb, a former deputy chair of the Minnesota Republican Party and a longtime critic of Trump. “He is someone who has built his entire political empire on being the victim all the time, and being the martyr, and this is just another example.”

    For the duration of the Trump era, Trump has sought to turn one seemingly disqualifying scandal after another into his benefit. Sometimes he’s succeeded (the Access Hollywood tape was not the dagger everyone expected it to be), sometimes he’s struggled (the aftermath of the riot at the Capitol on Jan. 6, 2021 remains largely unkind). In each case, he’s survived.

    The expected, coming indictment will test that once more; though, so far, the timing could hardly be better for him. If he is arrested this week, it will once more frame the early stages of the presidential primary around him, just as Pence, Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis and several other high-profile Republicans consider launching their own campaigns.

    “It seems very evident that the left is trying everything they can to discredit former President Donald Trump,” said Bruce Cherry, chair of Seminole County Republican executive committee in Florida, who said the “best possible ticket this country could have” would be Trump as the presidential nominee alongside DeSantis, as his running mate. “The indictment, I feel, doesn’t mean anything.”

    If anything, Republicans say, Trump will benefit from a short-term rush of support, much as he did following the FBI’s seizure of documents from his Mar-a-Lago estate last year. It may not manifest itself in national polls — where independent and Democratic voters will be reminded of the drama and scandals that seem to perpetually follow Trump. But one national GOP strategist, granted anonymity to discuss the political fallout, said the ex-president would likely enjoy an immediate fundraising boost in an otherwise unfriendly political environment.

    “Small-dollar donors are down,” this person said. “It’s going to motivate them. It proves there is a witch hunt.”

    On right-wing social media channels over the weekend, some Trump supporters were debating the merits of violent versus nonviolent protest, loosely contemplating a trucker strike or a bank run while others warned of a deep state “trap.” Unlike legal challenges Trump faces in Fulton County, Ga., and in a special counsel probe around Jan. 6, the case in New York is coming from a district attorney in Manhattan, viewed by many Republicans as an epicenter of the excesses of the left.

    “In this case, I think Republicans will rally around Trump initially,” said Whit Ayres, a longtime Republican pollster. “Long-term, it depends on what happens with this case, as well as the other criminal investigations.”

    If Trump ends up facing multiple indictments, Ayres said, it’s possible that primary voters who are at least open to other Republican presidential candidates will see him as having too much “baggage.” But, he cautioned, no one fully can understand how it will all play out. After all, it’s never happened before.

    “I have never studied the indictment of a former president and leading presidential candidate,” Ayres said, “and I’ve never done any polling on the indictment of a former president and leading presidential candidate.”

    One nagging fear of some Trump critics is that the case against him may prove to be weak, and that beating it could further embolden him. Former Rep. Peter Meijer, the Michigan Republican who lost his primary last year after voting to impeach Trump over his role in the Jan. 6 riot, said “bullshit Dem crusades help Trump in his primary, which, if he wins, helps Dems by getting the weakest GOP candidate to the general.”

    Trump’s highest profile 2024 GOP critic of late, Pence, declined to twist the knife on Saturday. Campaigning in Iowa at foreign policy forum hosted by the Bastion Institute, he told reporters: “No one is above the law. I’m confident President Trump can take care of himself.”

    But privately, Pence’s allies have made the case that Trump is likely to face more indictments related to his efforts to overturn the 2020 election.

    “He’s trying to walk a pretty narrow fence line,” Mike Murphy, a former Indiana Republican state lawmaker who is close to Pence, said of the former vice president’s comments. “He’s trying to keep Trump at arm’s length. But at the same time he knows the Republican base is going to go nuts if this happens on Tuesday. He has to come off as empathetic to their concerns, without being empathetic to Trump. The more serious potential indictment is in Atlanta. He’s going to be clear on that one that right is right and wrong is wrong.”

    It’s possible that Trump is overplaying his hand, with his call to “Protest, take our nation back!” and with a rally on Saturday in Waco, Texas, the first of his 2024 campaign. If protests do not materialize — or if crowd sizes are paltry — “it’ll show that the Trump movement is sputtering,” said one longtime Republican strategist who was granted anonymity to discuss the dynamics of the 2024 campaign.

    It’s also possible that Republicans fixated on electability will, after Trump’s loss in 2020 and a disappointing midterm, see Trump’s indictment as untenable in a general election.

    “At some point, some of his supporters will see that the pile-on effect of these legal actions directly affects his ability to win a general election,” said Dick Wadhams, a former Colorado Republican Party chair and longtime party strategist. “There is a reality that could start sinking in that he’s going to be diverted by these legal actions through the entire campaign, probably.”

    The biggest fear for some Republicans, however, is that an indictment may truly hurt Trump and the GOP just when the party needs to win back independents and moderate Republicans who ran away from them in 2020. Images of an indicted former president or of the protests it sparks could be painful reminders of his time in office.

    “It helps him in the Republican primary, but he was going to win the Republican primary, anyway,” said Mike Madrid, the Republican strategist who was a co-founder of the anti-Trump Lincoln Project.

    The problem for the GOP, he said, is that even if an indictment further intensifies Trump’s base, it will do nothing for the party in the general election.

    “The intensity of a shrinking base is not the sign of a growing movement,” Madrid said. “It’s the sign of a dwarf star imploding.”

    Natalie Allison contributed to this report.



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    ( With inputs from : www.politico.com )

  • Rijiju’s ‘anti-India gang’ remarks are attempt to pressure judiciary and threaten judges: Raut

    Rijiju’s ‘anti-India gang’ remarks are attempt to pressure judiciary and threaten judges: Raut

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    Mumbai: Shiv Sena (UBT) leader Sanjay Raut on Sunday alleged that Union Law Minister Kiren Rijiju’s remarks that a few retired judges are part of an “anti-India gang” are an attempt to pressure the judiciary and threaten judges.

    Speaking at the India Today Conclave in the national capital on Saturday, Rijiju had claimed that a few retired judges and some activists who are “part of the anti-India gang” are trying to make the Indian judiciary play the role of the opposition party.

    Reacting to the remarks while talking to reporters here, Raut said, “What kind of democracy is this? Does it suit a law minister to threaten the judiciary? It is a threat to judges who refuse to bow down to the government and it’s an attempt to pressure the judiciary.”

    Criticising the government doesn’t mean being against the nation, Raut said.

    The Shiv Sena (Uddhav Balasaheb Thackeray) MP also said that after Rahul Gandhi spoke about the threats to democracy in the country, there is now a move to get the Congress leader suspended from the Lok Sabha.

    To a question on the demand that Gandhi should apologise for his comments, Raut said, “Rahul Gandhi will not apologise and why should he?”

    “Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) leaders have in fact spoken against the country and its political leaders on foreign soil,” he charged.

    The BJP has been demanding an apology from Rahul Gandhi over his recent remarks he made in London, in which he alleged that the structures of Indian democracy are under attack and there is a “full-scale assault” on the country’s institutions.

    The remarks triggered a political slugfest, with the BJP accusing him of maligning India on foreign soil and seeking foreign interventions, and the Congress hitting back at the ruling party by citing previous instances of Prime Minister Narendra Modi raising internal politics abroad.

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    ( With inputs from www.siasat.com )

  • UP electricity employees threaten strike, govt threatens ESMA

    UP electricity employees threaten strike, govt threatens ESMA

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    Lucknow: Electricity department employees of Uttar Pradesh have announced a three-day strike starting Thursday night over the selection process for chairman and the managing director in power companies and other issues, including “pay anomalies”.

    Taking a tough stand, the government said if the strike creates problems for the public, the government will take action against the protesting employees under the Essential Services Maintenance Act (ESMA) and warned of sacking contractual workers who do not return to work.

    It also said action would be initiated under the National Security Act in case vandalism occurs during demonstrations.

    The employees began their protest under the umbrella of Vidyut Karmacharis Sanyukt Sangharsh Samiti, a union of electricity department employees, on Wednesday and held demonstrations across the state on Thursday.

    About 1 lakh employees would participate in the strike starting at 10 pm, Samiti Convenor Shailendra Dubey told PTI.

    Dubey said the government and the employees had agreed on some points on December 23 last year but several of those have not been implemented even after three months.

    He claimed the government had agreed that the chairman and the managing director of the power companies would be selected through a committee headed by the chief secretary but these posts are now being filled on the basis of transfers.

    Some other points of the agreement yet to be fulfilled are implementation of the Power Sector Employees Protection Act, stopping outsourcing of operation and maintenance of power sub-stations for transmission, equal honorarium for different corporations, revision of allowances and removal of salary anomalies, he said.

    The samiti office-bearers say the employees were forced to go on strike because of the “stubbornness” of the top management of energy corporations. Those who would go on strike include engineers, junior engineers, technicians, operating staff, clerical and contractual employees, they added.

    In a late evening press conference, State Energy Minister Arvind Kumar Sharma took a tough stand regarding the strike.

    He said if the contractual employees join the strike, they will be sacked. In view of the strike, an alert has been declared across the state. Many employees want to work. If someone stops the power workers from working then action will be taken against such people and if any damage is caused during the strike then action will also be taken under NSA.

    The government has made arrangements to keep the state’s electricity system in order, he added.

    The power minister said that the government is in talks with the group which has announced the strike.

    “We even held a meeting with them today for two hours but they are not ready to listen,” Sharma said.

    “However, the government has still kept the door open for talks,” he added.

    “He said that the government has taken action on many points of the agreement signed with the electricity workers on December 3. Rest of the points are also being discussed,” he said.

    On the other hand, Dubey said after about 23 years, a complete strike of electricity department employees is taking place in the state.

    Earlier, employees of emergency services were exempted from boycotting work on different occasions, but this time all 1 lakh employees will participate in the strike, he said.

    As per the plan, the employees on strike will boycott work in their respective departments as part of the strike.

    Dubey said on the call of the National Coordination Committee of Electricity Employees and Engineers (NCCOEEE), about 27 lakh electricity department employees from across the country have extended support to the strike.

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    ( With inputs from www.siasat.com )

  • Submarine scramble: Tech issues could threaten 3-nation megaplan for the Pacific

    Submarine scramble: Tech issues could threaten 3-nation megaplan for the Pacific

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    Most immediately, Australia is expected to serve as a forward base for a small number of U.S. submarines by the end of this decade. Then, Canberra will purchase at least three U.S.-made Virginia-class attack subs in the 2030s. Australia will also fund the construction of joint U.K.-Australia nuclear-powered submarines based on the British Astute-class boats. Those hulls would not come into service until at least the 2040s with some being delivered well into the 2050s.

    However all of the details shake out in the end, the result will be a historic sharing of ultra-sensitive technology that could bulk up the three nations’ navies in Beijing’s backyard.

    None of it will be easy, however, and the sun-splashed promises of allied unity from the three leaders who are gathering Monday belie the extraordinarily complex changes needed in export control rules and growing concerns that overstretched U.S. and U.K. shipyards can handle the workload. And the countries need to tackle all of this as Beijing churns out ships and submarines at rates the allies — even working together — are unable to match.

    While the three leaders are putting their imprint on the burgeoning deal in a conspicuously public way, the decades-long scope of the project means that the trio will be long out of office by the time the submarines are ready to begin construction.

    Keeping the AUKUS effort sailing over the coming decades will “require significant political leadership, and that unity is a big assumption” to make, said Brent Sadler, retired Navy submarine officer who is now at the Heritage Foundation think tank.

    The commitment and funding have to remain intact “at least until the first steel is cut on a new design, so you’re talking 10 years, and the final lever is how much Australia is going to remain wedded to this. If there’s political commitment they’ll find the money, but it isn’t cheap, they’re going to get sticker shock” at the final sail-away cost of a nuclear-powered submarine.

    “Cost is a big issue,” added one diplomat familiar with the planning, saying that among the allied governments there is a recognition that “the U.S. export control system is a relic of the Cold War” and Washington needs to move faster and more efficiently in greenlighting critical nuclear technologies in a reasonable time frame.

    Building the Virginia-class submarines will be another issue. The two U.S. companies that manufacture the submarines, General Dynamics Electric Boat and Huntington Ingalls Industries, are unable to meet the Navy’s goal of producing two submarines a year, and instead build about one and a half boats annually.

    Bloomberg first reported the hybrid U.K.-Australia submarine aspect of the AUKUS project, while Reuters originally reported the outlines of the Virginia submarine deal.

    The companies also have the first of 12 planned Columbia-class ballistic missile submarines soon moving down their production lines, a logjam that was already stoking worries about industrial capacity and raising serious questions over how they can possibly add more Australia-bound Virginia subs to their operations.

    One congressional staffer questioned whether Australian funding alone would be enough to add to facilities in the U.S. to build the new Virginia submarines in the 2030s, suggesting that more deals between the U.S. and Australia might still be in the works.

    More than subs

    The issues swirling around the shipyards in the U.S. also apply to other parts of the larger AUKUS deal, which include sharing sensitive technologies for hypersonic missiles, cyber and artificial intelligence. The U.S. has not previously exported or shared such technology, and any deal requires a deep rethinking of export rules, and requiring changes in regulations.

    “If we cannot get this right with the U.K. and Australia, we are not going to get it right for any other country in the world,” said Dak Hardwick, vice president of International Affairs at the Aerospace Industries Association, a trade group.

    Questions also linger over how quickly Washington and London can revamp those policies.

    “How that [will be] organized is going to be the question of the day,” said Connecticut Rep. Joe Courtney, top Democrat on House Armed Services’ Seapower subcommittee, adding it will be “daunting.”

    He said he’s confident the work will get done, though he also pointed out that both the U.S. and U.K. are in the early stages of building their own new classes of nuclear-powered submarines, and adding a third class to shipyards already struggling to find new workers and keep strained supply chains moving is no easy feat.

    If successful, however, “I think over time, this agreement is really going to emerge as one of the real hallmarks of Biden’s national security policy,” Courtney said.

    The choice to build a version of the British submarine rather than a version of the bigger U.S. Virginia-class boats will allow Australia to train smaller crews and maintain a smaller hull, important considerations for Canberra, which has 16,000 sailors in its navy. The submarines will certainly be more expensive to buy and operate than the 1990s-era Collins-class submarines they will replace, especially given the nuclear power plant and more advanced weapons systems they will carry.

    Malcolm Chalmers, deputy director-general at the London-based Royal United Services Institute, said there are economic and geopolitical reasons for Canberra to choose a submarine model based on the British submarine.

    “The American submarine would be a lot more expensive than the British one, because the American defense budget is so much greater,” he said, adding the U.S. Navy would have put more emphasis on capability than cost compared to Britain. And medium-size economies such as the U.K. and Australia do not want to become too dependent on the U.S. for critical intellectual property, he added.

    “From the U.K. point of view, it is very hard to buy these very expensive, highly sophisticated platforms without international collaboration. The logic points towards collaboration with other medium-size pals.”

    Still, the British submarine program remains reliant on American technology-sharing and a joint U.K.-Australia model would remain dependent on American components.

    Many question marks remain over the design details of the U.K.-Australia submarine, including the type of nuclear reactor it would carry, and answers aren’t expected for some time. Using a version of the reactor from Rolls-Royce, which is going to be fitted into the British missile submarine coming into service in the 2030s, would make sense, Chalmers said.

    Given the decades of planning to buy U.S. and British submarines, both countries will need to build the necessary infrastructure to construct the submarines, while training hundreds of Australian workers on how to work with new systems and manufacturing processes and developing new sustainment and manufacturing facilities in Australia.

    All of that effort will require the individual governments to commit to a decades-long effort to build up their industrial capacities, and make it easier to transfer sensitive technologies more quickly than is currently possible in order to meet schedules.

    AUKUS might be “the best vehicle by which to look at these larger cooperation arrangements” between friendly countries to integrate their high-tech defense systems, AIA’s Hardwick said.

    “We have to get this one right. There is no choice, we have to get this right for the subs and for the advanced capabilities. It is a very big lift, but we have to do this.”

    Paul McLeary reported from Washington and Cristina Gallardo reported from London.

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    ( With inputs from : www.politico.com )

  • No avoiding it now: Immigration issues threaten Biden’s climate program

    No avoiding it now: Immigration issues threaten Biden’s climate program

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    Congress has put a record amount of money behind boosting jobs the U.S. workforce presently does not appear equipped to fulfill. That includes $369 billion in climate incentives from the Inflation Reduction Act, $550 billion in new money through the Infrastructure Investment and Jobs Act, and the CHIPS and Science Act’s $52 billion to boost semiconductor manufacturing.

    Lawmakers, former administration officials, clean energy and labor advocates said immigration fixes are needed if the administration wants to ensure its biggest victories don’t go to waste — and that the nation can fight climate change, add jobs and beat geopolitical rivals like China in the global marketplace. Those changes include raising annual visa caps for highly skilled workers needed to grow the next wave of U.S. industry and securing ironclad work protections for people in the country on a temporary basis, they said. It’s the key to building a workforce needed to design, manufacture and install millions of new appliances, solar panels and electric vehicles.

    The high stakes for Biden’s jobs agenda, which will be a pillar of his likely reelection message next year, may force the White House to finally grapple with an issue it’s mostly kept on the back burner.

    President Donald Trump cut legal immigration in half over his four years in office through a mix of executive orders that halted immigration from Muslim countries and limited the ability of people seeking to join their spouses and other family members in the U.S. As Republicans have attacked Biden over the migrant crisis at the southern border, his administration has kept some of his predecessor’s immigration policies in place. And the White House is wary about enabling additional GOP attacks that would likely ignore the economic rationale for any easing of legal migration and simply hammer Biden as “soft” on immigration.

    In addition, calling for foreign-born workers would appear at odds with Biden’s blue-collar, American-made green revolution.

    Last decade saw the U.S. population grow at its slowest rate since the Great Depression, yet the White House remains somewhat hesitant to take further executive action or use its bully pulpit on immigration, according to people familiar with the administration’s thinking. But they said the administration recognizes immigration tweaks could break a labor shortage raising the price of goods through supply chain constraints, slowing clean energy projects and preventing highly skilled people from helping American businesses lead in emerging global industries.

    One former administration official warned that policymakers must soon address the reality of global competition for high-skilled talent.

    “If in the long term we neglect the human capital equation here, to some extent these efforts to change the face of industrial policy in the United States are not going to be as successful as they should be,” said Amy Nice, distinguished immigration fellow and visiting scholar at Cornell Law, who until January led STEM immigration policy at the White House Office of Science and Technology Policy. “And some measures will be in vain.”

    The White House has been hearing from senior officials, including at least one Cabinet secretary, about the need for administrative actions on immigration — raising caps on certain visa categories, filling country quotas — to help alleviate the pressure on the workforce and increase the country’s labor supply, according to a senior administration official not authorized to speak publicly on the matter.

    Biden, some officials and lawmakers have asserted, could also increase staff and other resources to help speed up visa processing and cut through a massive backlog that has left potential workers in limbo for months, years, and in some cases, decades.

    But for now, the administration seems more inclined to allow Congress to work on the issue.

    “I don’t think politics is the main concern. It’s just inertia and the hope that something more substantial could be done through legislation,” said one senior administration official who did not want to be named in order to speak freely.

    A White House official defended the administration’s record on immigration, noting Biden sent a framework for comprehensive immigration reform to Congress as one of his first presidential actions. The measure has yet to gain traction.

    The White House official noted the administration is moving to address immediate clean energy workforce needs in the construction, electrification and manufacturing fields, where a shortage of qualified people threatens to slow deployment of climate-fighting innovations Biden needs to meet his climate goals.

    The official said the administration has worked with organizations to pair skilled refugees from Afghanistan and Ukraine with trade union apprenticeship programs. The official said the administration’s focus remains on retraining people through creating training pipelines for electricians, broadband installers and construction workers. The official added that expanding union participation would ensure stronger labor supply by reducing turnover through improved job quality, safety and wages.

    “I don’t think we’ve run out of people to do these kinds of jobs,” the official said.

    Sen. Tim Kaine (D-Va.) said in an interview that the White House is “certainly aware that the low unemployment rate can be an obstacle” to the economy and the laws it has passed, but that the administration “hasn’t come to the Hill with a real workforce focus” on immigration.

    The stakes are clear for sectors pivotal to building and operating the infrastructure, manufacturing and clean energy projects Biden and Democrats have promised. The 57,000 foreign-born workers currently in the electrical and electronics engineering field comprise nearly 27 percent that sector’s workforce, while the 686,000 foreign-born construction laborers account for 38 percent of the nation’s total, according to a New American Economy analysis of Census data. Most foreign-born construction laborers are undocumented immigrants, according to the Center for American Progress, making up nearly one-quarter of the sector’s national workforce.

    “My largest worry about the American economy right now is the workforce worry,” Kaine said.

    The White House has seemed more comfortable taking executive steps, Kaine said, such as expanding a humanitarian parole program for migrants that also comes with a two-year work authorization. It also has pledged to step up enforcement against employers that exploit undocumented workers, which advocates contend will help keep those people in the workforce.

    But conversations are also brewing again on Capitol Hill about more “discreet” immigration bills. Kaine said he and Sen. Lindsey Graham (R-S.C.) have discussed legislation to help support people with Temporary Protected Status, a Department of Homeland Security designation for people who have fled natural disasters, armed conflict or other “extraordinary and temporary conditions” in their home country.

    Immigration restrictions are even hindering oil and gas companies right now, Rep. Marc Veasey (D-Texas), said in a House Energy and Commerce Committee hearing last month.

    “The permits that ranchers use, agriculture, the permits that hospitality use — those same immigration permits are not the ones that are needed for people to have temporary work visas in the oil and gas sector,” he said. “You ain’t unleashing a thing unless you do something about immigration reform.”

    Others have suggested that in addition to its inability to reach a deal to update the nation’s outdated immigration system, Congress needs to do a better job at retaining the immigrants who specifically come to the U.S. to earn degrees.

    The U.S. for years has struggled to develop advanced STEM degree holders, a key indicator of a country’s future competitiveness in these fields. It has fewer native-born advanced STEM degree recipients than countries like China, raising national security concerns from top officials. The Biden administration has tried to break that logjam, in part by allowing international STEM students to stay on student visas and work for up to three years in the U.S. post-graduation.

    “Why educate some of these folks in American schools … and then lose some of our best and brightest talent just because our system is super outdated?” said Kerri Talbot, deputy director of the Immigration Hub.

    And the demand for high-skilled workers far outweighs the nation’s immigration caps, said Shev Dalal-Dheini, head of government affairs for the American Immigration Lawyers Association. Congress limited employment-based green cards and H-1B visas offering temporary residency to skilled workers to 140,000 and 85,000 per year, respectively.

    Foreign nationals dominate the exact fields the U.S. needs to grow its clean energy and manufacturing base. Nearly three-quarters of all full-time graduate students at U.S. universities pursuing electrical engineering, computer and information science, and industrial and manufacturing engineering degrees are foreign-born, according to the National Foundation for American Policy, an innovation, trade and immigration think tank. The same is true for more than half seeking mechanical engineering and agricultural economics, mathematics, chemical engineering, metallurgical and materials engineering and materials sciences degrees.

    Subtle changes, like requiring more evidence and interviews, under the Trump administration worsened already-common backlogs. Processing at the U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services, which is mainly paper based, not electronic, shuttered during the pandemic — it remains plagued by staff and funding shortages.

    To the extent that the green energy transition is a race for a global market and influence, the U.S. immigration system is like a boulder in its shoe.

    “Canada literally places billboards in Washington state saying, ‘Come here,’” said Theresa Cardinal Brown, senior advisor for immigration and border policy at the Bipartisan Policy Center. “Our ability to succeed in these big goals relies on people being able to do the work to meet those goals.”

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    #avoiding #Immigration #issues #threaten #Bidens #climate #program
    ( With inputs from : www.politico.com )