Asaduddin Owaisi’s celebration AIMIM has seen a meteoric rise lately. The Hyderabad-based celebration with over 70 years of existence that was restricted electorally simply to Hyderabad for a long time, with a Lok Sabha MP, few MLAs and a few native election wins, now has two MPs, 14 MLAs and several other seats gained in native elections in Bihar, Uttar Pradesh, Maharashtra and Karnataka and is eyeing minority-dominated seats throughout India.
And West Bengal is a part of AIMIM’s enlargement drive the place polls are two months away and the place Muslims are greater than 27% of the inhabitants.
But with West Bengal’s distinguished Muslim cleric Abbas Siddiqui’s determination to launch a political celebration, Indian Secular Front (ISF), days after assembly Owaisi and supporting him and his determination to contest elections in an alliance with the Left-Congress mix goes to make Owaisi’s street forward in the state troublesome.
And Owaisi’s being an Urdu-speaking Muslim solely provides to the difficulties. Owaisi might get assist from Urdu-speaking Muslims of the State however they’re restricted to north Bengal areas and are proportionately very much less in quantity than Bengali-speaking Muslims who dominate many south Bengal constituencies.
They might even see Owaisi as an outsider if he contests alone and if one other distinguished state-born Bengali-speaking Muslim is in his rival alliance. Abbas Siddiqui is Pirzada or spiritual chief of Furfura Sharif, an influential sufi shrine and has important affect in south Bengal.
AIMIM needed to contest on the minority-dominated seats in West Bengal however Siddiqui’s ISF that’s influential in 36-40 seats is anticipated to trigger extra severe harm to Owaisi when it fights in an alliance with the Left-Congress mix.
In January, when Owaisi met Abbas Siddiqui, there have been speculations that they might plan to contest the elections collectively and Siddiqui might even contest on AIMIM ticket. Siddiqui, as soon as a vocal supporter of Mamata Banerjee, quickly determined to take a distinct route.
He not solely launched his celebration simply two weeks after assembly Owaisi, but additionally determined to affix an alliance with the Left Front and Congress which made it clear that it could not enable AIMIM to be a part of the alliance.
A transfer that might set up him as a political pillar in State politics in future the place Muslims play a decisive function in many constituencies.
According to a research by the late Prof. Iqbal Ansari and Pratichi Institute, Muslims are over 50% in 46 constituencies out of the whole 294 constituencies in the State, 40-50% in 16 seats and 30-40% in 33 seats.
Muslims have overshot Hindus in three border districts in the State, Murshidabad, Malda and North Dinajpur. These districts share a border with Bangladesh. Murshidabad has 47 lakh Muslims and 23 lakh Hindus; Malda has 20 lakh Muslims and 19 lakh Hindus; and North Dinajpur has 15 lakh Muslims and 14 lakh Hindus. Besides these districts, South 24 Parganas, Hooghly and Howrah districts even have important minority votes.
And a potential Left-Congress-ISF alliance might assist all of the stakeholders collectively to garner an enormous junk of minority votes.
How it should have an effect on Mamata’s votes isn’t clear as Siddiqui, in the meanwhile, is a political greenhorn. Also many Muslims nonetheless assist Mamata, even from the Furfura Sharif sect like earlier Furfura Sharif sect Pirzada Twoha Siddiqui continues to assist Mamata. According to a CSDS post-poll evaluation, 70% of the Muslims voted for Mamata in 2019.
Though Siddiqui has mentioned that he respects Owaisi and provides that he wouldn’t subject candidates towards AIMIM candidates and would attraction Muslims to vote for the candidates of Owaisi’s celebration, on floor, it’s troublesome to occur as Owaisi would even be focusing on these very seats that the Left-Congress-ISF alliance is eyeing in the upcoming polls.
Asaduddin Owaisi needed to emerge as a kingmaker in West Bengal however it appears Abbas Siddiqui has a distinct plan right here.